Antwerp vs Lommel United prediction
Jupiler Pro League · · Bosuilstadion, Antwerp
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Antwerp a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lommel United 24%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Antwerp 1.80, Lommel United 1.20.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Antwerp: position 13 with 11 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-2-6), 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. Recent form: D L W L L.
Lommel United: position 6 with 16 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 4-4-3), 15 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: D W D W D.
On average Antwerp take 1.00 points per game, Lommel United 1.50.
Absences and team news
Antwerp report no significant absences.
Lommel United report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 51% for Antwerp, 25% for the draw and 24% for Lommel United. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 50%, 25% and 24%.
Expected goals: Antwerp 1.80, Lommel United 1.20, 3.00 in total. Over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Antwerp win (50%, fair odds 1.98); double chance 1X rises to 76%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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