Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II prediction

LaLiga 2 · Mon, 9 Nov, 20:30 CET · Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell

Updated: Sun, 8 Nov, 18:27 CET

Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Sabadell a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Sociedad II 17%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Sabadell 1.67, Real Sociedad II 0.83.

Match result

Goals

Most likely scores

Match analysis

Standings and form

Sabadell: position 11 with 17 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 4-5-3), 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. Recent form: L D L W D.

Real Sociedad II: position 19 with 11 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-2-7), 15 goals scored and 22 conceded. Recent form: W L L L L.

On average Sabadell take 1.42 points per game, Real Sociedad II 0.92.

Absences and team news

Sabadell report no significant absences.

Real Sociedad II report no significant absences.

Team news, Sabadell: Nicholas Gioacchini is injured; Bonaldo and Edgar González are doubtful.

Team news, Real Sociedad II: Iñaki Rupérez is out injured.

What the odds and the model say

Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 56% for Sabadell, 26% for the draw and 18% for Real Sociedad II. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 56%, 26% and 17%.

Expected goals: Sabadell 1.67, Real Sociedad II 0.83, 2.51 in total. Over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%; the most likely score is 1-1.

Expected corners: 9.3 (over 9.5 at 45%). Expected yellow cards: 3.8 (over 3.5 at 51%).

In short

For the model the most likely outcome is a Sabadell win (56%, fair odds 1.78); double chance 1X rises to 83%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.

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