Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba prediction
Liga Profesional Argentina ·
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Gimnasia L.P. a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Belgrano Cordoba 36%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Gimnasia L.P. 1.25, Belgrano Cordoba 1.29.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Gimnasia L.P.: position 6 with 26 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 8-2-6), 19 goals scored and 19 conceded. Recent form: W W W W D.
Belgrano Cordoba: position 5 with 26 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-5-4), 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: L D L L W.
On average Gimnasia L.P. take 1.63 points per game, Belgrano Cordoba 1.63.
Absences and team news
Gimnasia L.P. report no significant absences.
Belgrano Cordoba report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 34% for Gimnasia L.P., 30% for the draw and 36% for Belgrano Cordoba. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 34%, 29% and 36%.
Expected goals: Gimnasia L.P. 1.25, Belgrano Cordoba 1.29, 2.54 in total. Over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Belgrano Cordoba win (36%, fair odds 2.76); double chance X2 rises to 66%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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