Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang prediction
K League 1 · · Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FC Anyang 36%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.37, FC Anyang 1.37.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC: position 10 with 34 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-19-9), 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. Recent form: L D L W D.
FC Anyang: position 8 with 43 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 10-13-10), 40 goals scored and 48 conceded. Recent form: D D W W D.
On average Gimcheon Sangmu FC take 1.03 points per game, FC Anyang 1.30.
Absences and team news
Gimcheon Sangmu FC report no significant absences.
FC Anyang are without Choi Geon-Joo, Kim Jung-Hyun, Kim Young-Chan, Lee Chang-Yong.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 35% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 28% for the draw and 37% for FC Anyang. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 36%, 28% and 36%.
Expected goals: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.37, FC Anyang 1.37, 2.74 in total. Over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Gimcheon Sangmu FC win (36%, fair odds 2.77); double chance 1X rises to 64%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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