Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction
LaLiga 2 · · Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Las Palmas a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Eldense 27%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Las Palmas 1.61, Eldense 1.18.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Las Palmas: position 12 with 17 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-2-5), 17 goals scored and 21 conceded. Recent form: W W L L D.
Eldense: position 15 with 14 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 4-2-6), 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: L L W W W.
On average Las Palmas take 1.42 points per game, Eldense 1.17.
Absences and team news
Las Palmas report no significant absences.
Eldense report no significant absences.
Team news, Las Palmas: Albert Sánchez makes his debut on the Las Palmas bench after the 3-2 win at Oviedo.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 46% for Las Palmas, 27% for the draw and 26% for Eldense. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 46%, 27% and 27%.
Expected goals: Las Palmas 1.61, Eldense 1.18, 2.79 in total. Over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 8.9 (over 9.5 at 41%). Expected yellow cards: 3.8 (over 3.5 at 52%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Las Palmas win (46%, fair odds 2.16); double chance 1X rises to 73%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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