TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach prediction
Bundesliga Austria · · Profertil Arena, Hartberg
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives TSV Hartberg a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and SCR Altach 34%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: TSV Hartberg 1.44, SCR Altach 1.36.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
TSV Hartberg: position 5 with 17 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-2-4), 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. Recent form: W W L W D.
SCR Altach: position 9 with 10 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-1-7), 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: D W L W L.
On average TSV Hartberg take 1.55 points per game, SCR Altach 0.91.
Absences and team news
TSV Hartberg are without P. Komposch, T. Kainz, C. Hoffmann, F. Wilfinger.
SCR Altach report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 39% for TSV Hartberg, 27% for the draw and 34% for SCR Altach. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 38%, 28% and 34%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: TSV Hartberg 1.44, SCR Altach 1.36, 2.80 in total. Over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 48%). Expected yellow cards: 3.7, with referee Sebastian Gishamer (over 3.5 at 49%).
Kick-off forecast in Hartberg: 7.8 °C, no rain, wind 10 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a TSV Hartberg win (38%, fair odds 2.64); double chance 1X rises to 66%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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