WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna prediction
Bundesliga Austria · · Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives WSG Wattens a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Austria Vienna 35%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: WSG Wattens 1.45, Austria Vienna 1.40.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
WSG Wattens: position 7 with 12 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-3-5), 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: L D W L L.
Austria Vienna: position 11 with 7 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-1-8), 10 goals scored and 22 conceded. Recent form: L L L L D.
On average WSG Wattens take 1.09 points per game, Austria Vienna 0.64.
Absences and team news
WSG Wattens are without D. Murray, T. Goiginger, H. Balić.
Austria Vienna are without J. Handl, I. Buhari, J. Hettwer.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 37% for WSG Wattens, 27% for the draw and 35% for Austria Vienna. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 37%, 27% and 35%.
Expected goals: WSG Wattens 1.45, Austria Vienna 1.40, 2.85 in total. Over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.4 (over 9.5 at 47%). Expected yellow cards: 4, with referee Jakob Semler (over 3.5 at 55%).
Kick-off forecast in Innsbruck: 10.1 °C, no rain, wind 4 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a WSG Wattens win (37%, fair odds 2.67); double chance 1X rises to 65%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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