Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction

Superliga Danimarca · Sun, 8 Nov, 16:00 CET · Cepheus Park Randers, Landers

Full time

Updated: Sun, 8 Nov, 15:36 CET

Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Randers FC a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Nordsjaelland 56%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Randers FC 1.22, FC Nordsjaelland 2.06.

Match result

Goals

Most likely scores

Match analysis

Standings and form

Randers FC: position 10 with 11 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-2-8), 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. Recent form: L L D L L.

FC Nordsjaelland: position 5 with 20 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-5-3), 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: L D D D L.

On average Randers FC take 0.85 points per game, FC Nordsjaelland 1.54.

Absences and team news

Randers FC are without D. Høegh, L. Pedersen, K. Junker.

FC Nordsjaelland are without J. Lähteenmäki, P. Amoako, M. Brink.

What the odds and the model say

Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 22% for Randers FC, 23% for the draw and 55% for FC Nordsjaelland. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 21%, 23% and 56%.

Expected goals: Randers FC 1.22, FC Nordsjaelland 2.06, 3.29 in total. Over 2.5 at 64%, both teams to score at 63%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.

Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 47%). Expected yellow cards: 4, with referee Svend Funder (over 3.5 at 55%).

In short

For the model the most likely outcome is a FC Nordsjaelland win (56%, fair odds 1.79); double chance X2 rises to 79%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.

Missing

Other matches · Superliga Danimarca