Servette FC vs FC Zurich prediction
Super League Svizzera · · Letzigrund, Zurich
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Servette FC a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Zurich 29%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Servette FC 1.70, FC Zurich 1.34.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Servette FC: position 6 with 16 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-1-6), 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. Recent form: L W W L W.
FC Zurich: position 4 with 20 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 6-2-4), 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. Recent form: W W W D W.
On average Servette FC take 1.33 points per game, FC Zurich 1.67.
Absences and team news
Servette FC are without M. Burch, B. Mazikou, M. Stevanović, K. Mutandwa.
FC Zurich report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 47% for Servette FC, 25% for the draw and 28% for FC Zurich. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 45%, 26% and 29%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Servette FC 1.70, FC Zurich 1.34, 3.04 in total. Over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 61%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 48%). Expected yellow cards: 3.8 (over 3.5 at 52%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Servette FC win (45%, fair odds 2.23); double chance 1X rises to 71%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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