Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena prediction
Copa del Rey ·
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Deportiva Minera a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and FC Cartagena 39%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Deportiva Minera 1.17, FC Cartagena 1.34.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Deportiva Minera report no significant absences.
FC Cartagena report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 31% for Deportiva Minera, 31% for the draw and 39% for FC Cartagena. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 31%, 29% and 39%.
Expected goals: Deportiva Minera 1.17, FC Cartagena 1.34, 2.51 in total. Over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a FC Cartagena win (39%, fair odds 2.55); double chance X2 rises to 69%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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