Utebo vs Sabadell prediction
Copa del Rey ·
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Utebo a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sabadell 57%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Utebo 0.85, Sabadell 1.72.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Utebo report no significant absences.
Sabadell report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 17% for Utebo, 26% for the draw and 57% for Sabadell. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 17%, 26% and 57%.
Expected goals: Utebo 0.85, Sabadell 1.72, 2.57 in total. Over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Sabadell win (57%, fair odds 1.75); double chance X2 rises to 83%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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