Vissel Kobe vs Urawa prediction
J1 League · · Japan National Stadium, Tokyo
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Vissel Kobe a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Urawa 28%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Vissel Kobe 1.62, Urawa 1.22.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Vissel Kobe: position 5 with 26 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 8-2-3), 21 goals scored and 12 conceded. Recent form: W D L W L.
Urawa: position 9 with 21 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-0-6), 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Recent form: L W W W L.
On average Vissel Kobe take 2.00 points per game, Urawa 1.62.
Absences and team news
Vissel Kobe report no significant absences.
Urawa report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 45% for Vissel Kobe, 26% for the draw and 29% for Urawa. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 45%, 27% and 28%.
Expected goals: Vissel Kobe 1.62, Urawa 1.22, 2.84 in total. Over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.4 (over 9.5 at 46%). Expected yellow cards: 2.9 (over 3.5 at 32%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Vissel Kobe win (45%, fair odds 2.21); double chance 1X rises to 72%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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