JEF United Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock prediction
J1 League · · Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives JEF United Chiba a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mito Hollyhock 23%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: JEF United Chiba 1.55, Mito Hollyhock 0.98.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
JEF United Chiba: position 18 with 10 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-4-7), 15 goals scored and 24 conceded. Recent form: W D L D D.
Mito Hollyhock: position 19 with 9 points from 13 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-3-8), 12 goals scored and 25 conceded. Recent form: L L L L L.
On average JEF United Chiba take 0.77 points per game, Mito Hollyhock 0.69.
Absences and team news
JEF United Chiba report no significant absences.
Mito Hollyhock report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 49% for JEF United Chiba, 27% for the draw and 23% for Mito Hollyhock. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 49%, 28% and 23%.
Expected goals: JEF United Chiba 1.55, Mito Hollyhock 0.98, 2.53 in total. Over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9 (over 9.5 at 42%). Expected yellow cards: 2.8 (over 3.5 at 31%).
Kick-off forecast in Chiba: 14.7 °C, no rain, wind 6 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a JEF United Chiba win (49%, fair odds 2.03); double chance 1X rises to 77%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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