Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors prediction
K League 1 · · Chuncheon Songam Sports Town, Chuncheon
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Gangwon FC a 39% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Jeonbuk Motors 30%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Gangwon FC 1.25, Jeonbuk Motors 1.06.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Gangwon FC: position 5 with 48 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 11-15-7), 40 goals scored and 30 conceded. Recent form: D D W D L.
Jeonbuk Motors: position 4 with 48 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 12-12-9), 43 goals scored and 33 conceded. Recent form: D W L D L.
On average Gangwon FC take 1.45 points per game, Jeonbuk Motors 1.45.
Absences and team news
Gangwon FC are without M. Tuci, Kim Do-Hyun.
Jeonbuk Motors are without Cho Wi-Je, Kim Tae-Hwan, Bruno Mota.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 39% for Gangwon FC, 31% for the draw and 30% for Jeonbuk Motors. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 39%, 31% and 30%.
Expected goals: Gangwon FC 1.25, Jeonbuk Motors 1.06, 2.31 in total. Over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 8.2 (over 9.5 at 32%). Expected yellow cards: 3.1 (over 3.5 at 38%).
Kick-off forecast in Chuncheon: 6.6 °C, rain 0.2 mm, wind 7 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Gangwon FC win (39%, fair odds 2.55); double chance 1X rises to 70%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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