Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers prediction
K League 1 · · Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Bucheon FC 1995 a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Pohang Steelers 39%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.07, Pohang Steelers 1.24.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Bucheon FC 1995: position 11 with 32 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-11-15), 32 goals scored and 47 conceded. Recent form: L L L L D.
Pohang Steelers: position 9 with 42 points from 33 matches (won-drawn-lost 11-9-13), 30 goals scored and 39 conceded. Recent form: D D L W D.
On average Bucheon FC 1995 take 0.97 points per game, Pohang Steelers 1.27.
Absences and team news
Bucheon FC 1995 are without An Tae-Hyun, Baek Dong-Gyu, Jeong Ho-Jin, Kim Sang-Jun.
Pohang Steelers are without Eo Jeong-Won, Jorge Luiz, J. Tranziska.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 31% for Bucheon FC 1995, 31% for the draw and 38% for Pohang Steelers. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 30%, 31% and 39%.
Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.07, Pohang Steelers 1.24, 2.31 in total. Over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 8.5 (over 9.5 at 35%). Expected yellow cards: 2.9 (over 3.5 at 33%).
Kick-off forecast in Bucheon: 4.8 °C, rain 1.3 mm, wind 7 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Pohang Steelers win (39%, fair odds 2.56); double chance X2 rises to 70%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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