Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht prediction
Jupiler Pro League · · Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Club Brugge KV a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Anderlecht 17%. The most likely result is 2-1. Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.33, Anderlecht 1.18.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Club Brugge KV: position 1 with 27 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 9-0-1), 26 goals scored and 8 conceded. Recent form: W W W W W.
Anderlecht: position 5 with 19 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 6-1-3), 13 goals scored and 11 conceded. Recent form: W L W W W.
On average Club Brugge KV take 2.70 points per game, Anderlecht 1.90.
Absences and team news
Club Brugge KV report no significant absences.
Anderlecht report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 61% for Club Brugge KV, 21% for the draw and 17% for Anderlecht. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 62%, 21% and 17%.
Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.33, Anderlecht 1.18, 3.51 in total. Over 2.5 at 68%, both teams to score at 63%; the most likely score is 2-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.4 (over 9.5 at 46%). Expected yellow cards: 4.1, with referee J. Vergoote (over 3.5 at 58%).
Other factors
Rest days since the last match: 4 for Club Brugge KV, 3 for Anderlecht.
These factors are shown for information: the model will use them only if studies show they improve the predictions.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Club Brugge KV win (62%, fair odds 1.61); double chance 1X rises to 83%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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