St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem prediction
Jupiler Pro League · · Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Live · 5'
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives St. Truiden a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zulte Waregem 20%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: St. Truiden 1.99, Zulte Waregem 1.12.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
St. Truiden: position 16 with 8 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-2-6), 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Recent form: L L L L L.
Zulte Waregem: position 12 with 11 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-2-5), 12 goals scored and 16 conceded. Recent form: L L L L L.
On average St. Truiden take 0.80 points per game, Zulte Waregem 1.10.
Absences and team news
St. Truiden report no significant absences.
Zulte Waregem report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 57% for St. Truiden, 22% for the draw and 21% for Zulte Waregem. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 56%, 24% and 20%.
Expected goals: St. Truiden 1.99, Zulte Waregem 1.12, 3.11 in total. Over 2.5 at 60%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.6 (over 9.5 at 48%). Expected yellow cards: 3.6, with referee A. Letellier (over 3.5 at 49%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a St. Truiden win (56%, fair odds 1.77); double chance 1X rises to 80%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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