Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
La Liga · · RCDE Stadium, Cornella
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Espanyol a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo La Coruna 33%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Espanyol 1.35, Deportivo La Coruna 1.25.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Espanyol: position 13 with 12 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-3-6), 13 goals scored and 14 conceded. Recent form: D W L L D.
Deportivo La Coruna: position 8 with 15 points from 12 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-6-3), 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. Recent form: D W L D L.
On average Espanyol take 1.00 points per game, Deportivo La Coruna 1.27.
Absences and team news
Espanyol report no significant absences.
Deportivo La Coruna report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 38% for Espanyol, 29% for the draw and 33% for Deportivo La Coruna. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 38%, 29% and 33%.
Expected goals: Espanyol 1.35, Deportivo La Coruna 1.25, 2.59 in total. Over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Espanyol win (38%, fair odds 2.64); double chance 1X rises to 67%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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