Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction
Primera División de Chile · · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Union La Calera a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Huachipato 27%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Union La Calera 1.57, Huachipato 1.15.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Union La Calera: position 16 with 21 points from 26 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-6-15), 23 goals scored and 43 conceded. Recent form: L W D W L.
Huachipato: position 11 with 33 points from 25 matches (won-drawn-lost 9-6-10), 34 goals scored and 40 conceded. Recent form: D D W W D.
On average Union La Calera take 0.81 points per game, Huachipato 1.32.
Absences and team news
Union La Calera report no significant absences.
Huachipato report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 46% for Union La Calera, 27% for the draw and 26% for Huachipato. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 46%, 27% and 27%.
Expected goals: Union La Calera 1.57, Huachipato 1.15, 2.72 in total. Over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 10.2 (over 9.5 at 56%). Expected yellow cards: 4.7, with referee Rodrigo Carvajal Molina (over 3.5 at 67%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Union La Calera win (46%, fair odds 2.18); double chance 1X rises to 73%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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