Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction
Süper Lig · · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Rizespor a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Erzurumspor FK 22%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Rizespor 1.74, Erzurumspor FK 1.04.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Rizespor: position 13 with 11 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-2-5), 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. Recent form: D L L L D.
Erzurumspor FK: position 11 with 14 points from 10 matches (won-drawn-lost 4-2-4), 9 goals scored and 15 conceded. Recent form: L W W D W.
On average Rizespor take 1.10 points per game, Erzurumspor FK 1.40.
Absences and team news
Rizespor report no significant absences.
Erzurumspor FK report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 53% for Rizespor, 25% for the draw and 22% for Erzurumspor FK. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 52%, 26% and 22%.
Expected goals: Rizespor 1.74, Erzurumspor FK 1.04, 2.78 in total. Over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 48%). Expected yellow cards: 3.8, with referee D. Tonusluoglu (over 3.5 at 52%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Rizespor win (52%, fair odds 1.91); double chance 1X rises to 78%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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