Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction
Eredivisie · · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Heerenveen a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Feyenoord 57%. The most likely result is 1-2. Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.35, Feyenoord 2.25.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Heerenveen: position 7 with 18 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-3-3), 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: W W W L W.
Feyenoord: position 1 with 25 points from 11 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-4-0), 33 goals scored and 12 conceded. Recent form: D D W W W.
On average Heerenveen take 1.64 points per game, Feyenoord 2.27.
Absences and team news
Heerenveen report no significant absences.
Feyenoord report no significant absences.
Team news, Feyenoord: Feyenoord have five injured players: Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal, St. Juste, Jordan Bos and Beelen are not available.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 22% for Heerenveen, 22% for the draw and 57% for Feyenoord. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 22%, 22% and 57%.
Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.35, Feyenoord 2.25, 3.60 in total. Over 2.5 at 70%, both teams to score at 67%; the most likely score is 1-2. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.3 (over 9.5 at 45%). Expected yellow cards: 3.7, with referee Danny Makkelie (over 3.5 at 51%).
Kick-off forecast in Heerenveen: 7.8 °C, no rain, wind 11 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Feyenoord win (57%, fair odds 1.76); double chance X2 rises to 78%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
Free daily picks on our Telegram channel
Join on Telegram