SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Bundesliga · · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives SC Paderborn 07 a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 43%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 1.54, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.79.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
SC Paderborn 07: position 12 with 10 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-4-3), 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Recent form: D D W D L.
Eintracht Frankfurt: position 9 with 12 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-3-3), 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. Recent form: D W L W L.
On average SC Paderborn 07 take 1.13 points per game, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.38.
Absences and team news
SC Paderborn 07 are without L. Ulrich, M. Pieringer.
Eintracht Frankfurt are without Y. Ebnoutalib, K. Kosugi.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 32% for SC Paderborn 07, 25% for the draw and 42% for Eintracht Frankfurt. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 33%, 25% and 43%.
Expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 1.54, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.79, 3.33 in total. Over 2.5 at 65%, both teams to score at 66%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Kick-off forecast in Paderborn: 6.8 °C, no rain, wind 12 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Eintracht Frankfurt win (43%, fair odds 2.34); double chance X2 rises to 67%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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