Angers vs Nice prediction
Ligue 1 · · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers
Live · 50'
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Angers a 24% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nice 50%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Angers 1.15, Nice 1.72.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Angers: position 15 with 8 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-2-5), 9 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: L D L L W.
Nice: position 8 with 14 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 4-2-3), 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. Recent form: W W L W W.
On average Angers take 0.89 points per game, Nice 1.56.
Absences and team news
Angers report no significant absences.
Nice report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 25% for Angers, 26% for the draw and 49% for Nice. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 24%, 26% and 50%.
Expected goals: Angers 1.15, Nice 1.72, 2.86 in total. Over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 47%). Expected yellow cards: 3.8, with referee Geoffrey Kubler (over 3.5 at 52%).
Kick-off forecast in Angers: 8 °C, no rain, wind 9 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Nice win (50%, fair odds 2.02); double chance X2 rises to 76%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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