AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos prediction
Super League Grecia · · Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives AEK Athens FC a 81% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Levadiakos 5%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 2.56, Levadiakos 0.53.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
AEK Athens FC: position 5 with 17 points from 8 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-2-1), 21 goals scored and 5 conceded. Recent form: L W W W D.
Levadiakos: position 11 with 6 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-3-5), 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. Recent form: W D D L L.
On average AEK Athens FC take 2.13 points per game, Levadiakos 0.67.
Absences and team news
AEK Athens FC report no significant absences.
Levadiakos report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 80% for AEK Athens FC, 15% for the draw and 6% for Levadiakos. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 81%, 14% and 5%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 2.56, Levadiakos 0.53, 3.09 in total. Over 2.5 at 60%, both teams to score at 38%; the most likely score is 2-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.3 (over 9.5 at 45%). Expected yellow cards: 3.5, with referee Moschou Dimitrios (over 3.5 at 47%).
Kick-off forecast in Athens: 12.3 °C, no rain, wind 12 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a AEK Athens FC win (81%, fair odds 1.24); double chance 1X rises to 95%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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