Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK prediction
Super League Grecia · · Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PAOK 16%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.92, PAOK 0.88.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Olympiakos Piraeus: position 2 with 22 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-1-1), 15 goals scored and 4 conceded. Recent form: W W W W W.
PAOK: position 4 with 18 points from 9 matches (won-drawn-lost 6-0-3), 18 goals scored and 12 conceded. Recent form: W L W L W.
On average Olympiakos Piraeus take 2.44 points per game, PAOK 2.00.
Absences and team news
Olympiakos Piraeus report no significant absences.
PAOK report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 60% for Olympiakos Piraeus, 23% for the draw and 17% for PAOK. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 61%, 24% and 16%.
Expected goals: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.92, PAOK 0.88, 2.80 in total. Over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 9.6 (over 9.5 at 48%). Expected yellow cards: 4, with referee Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (over 3.5 at 55%).
Kick-off forecast in Piraeus: 9.6 °C, no rain, wind 3 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Olympiakos Piraeus win (61%, fair odds 1.65); double chance 1X rises to 84%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
Free daily picks on our Telegram channel
Join on Telegram