Viking vs KFUM Oslo prediction
Eliteserien · · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Viking a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and KFUM Oslo 6%. The most likely result is 3-0. Expected goals: Viking 3.01, KFUM Oslo 0.82.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Viking: position 1 with 59 points from 25 matches (won-drawn-lost 19-2-4), 64 goals scored and 26 conceded. Recent form: L W W W W.
KFUM Oslo: position 10 with 31 points from 25 matches (won-drawn-lost 8-7-10), 32 goals scored and 41 conceded. Recent form: D D D W W.
On average Viking take 2.36 points per game, KFUM Oslo 1.24.
Absences and team news
Viking are without Z. Tripić, K. Askildsen, K. Haugen, T. Moi.
KFUM Oslo are without E. Saunes, F. Berglie, B. Njie, B. Skaret.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 80% for Viking, 12% for the draw and 8% for KFUM Oslo. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 81%, 13% and 6%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Viking 3.01, KFUM Oslo 0.82, 3.83 in total. Over 2.5 at 74%, both teams to score at 54%; the most likely score is 3-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 10 (over 9.5 at 53%). Expected yellow cards: 3.9, with referee Rohit Saggi (over 3.5 at 53%).
Kick-off forecast in Stavanger: 5 °C, no rain, wind 8 km/h, pitch artificial.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Viking win (81%, fair odds 1.24); double chance 1X rises to 94%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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