Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC prediction
MLS · · Lumen Field, Seattle
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Seattle Sounders a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Los Angeles FC 28%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.79, Los Angeles FC 1.36.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Seattle Sounders: position 8 with 46 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 12-10-12), 44 goals scored and 46 conceded. Recent form: W L L D D.
Los Angeles FC: position 11 with 44 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 11-11-12), 50 goals scored and 57 conceded. Recent form: L W D D W.
On average Seattle Sounders take 1.30 points per game, Los Angeles FC 1.33.
Absences and team news
Seattle Sounders report no significant absences.
Los Angeles FC report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 47% for Seattle Sounders, 25% for the draw and 28% for Los Angeles FC. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 47%, 25% and 28%.
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.79, Los Angeles FC 1.36, 3.14 in total. Over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 63%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 10.6 (over 9.5 at 60%). Expected yellow cards: 3.5, with referee Filip Dujic (over 3.5 at 45%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Seattle Sounders win (47%, fair odds 2.15); double chance 1X rises to 72%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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