FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids prediction
MLS · · Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives FC Dallas a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 24%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: FC Dallas 1.78, Colorado Rapids 1.19.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
FC Dallas: position 2 with 58 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 16-10-8), 62 goals scored and 51 conceded. Recent form: W D L W D.
Colorado Rapids: position 12 with 43 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 12-7-15), 47 goals scored and 50 conceded. Recent form: L L D W D.
On average FC Dallas take 1.67 points per game, Colorado Rapids 1.30.
Absences and team news
FC Dallas report no significant absences.
Colorado Rapids report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 50% for FC Dallas, 25% for the draw and 25% for Colorado Rapids. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 50%, 25% and 24%.
Expected goals: FC Dallas 1.78, Colorado Rapids 1.19, 2.97 in total. Over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 1-1.
Expected corners: 10.3 (over 9.5 at 57%). Expected yellow cards: 3.7, with referee Drew Fischer (over 3.5 at 51%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a FC Dallas win (50%, fair odds 1.99); double chance 1X rises to 76%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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