Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC prediction
MLS · · Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Real Salt Lake a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Los Angeles FC 22%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Real Salt Lake 2.16, Los Angeles FC 1.34.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Real Salt Lake: position 9 with 45 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 13-6-15), 53 goals scored and 52 conceded. Recent form: W L W W W.
Los Angeles FC: position 11 with 44 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 11-11-12), 50 goals scored and 57 conceded. Recent form: L W D D W.
On average Real Salt Lake take 1.27 points per game, Los Angeles FC 1.33.
Absences and team news
Real Salt Lake report no significant absences.
Los Angeles FC report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 55% for Real Salt Lake, 22% for the draw and 22% for Los Angeles FC. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 55%, 22% and 22%.
Expected goals: Real Salt Lake 2.16, Los Angeles FC 1.34, 3.50 in total. Over 2.5 at 68%, both teams to score at 66%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 10.4 (over 9.5 at 58%). Expected yellow cards: 4.2, with referee Joseph Dickerson (over 3.5 at 59%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Real Salt Lake win (55%, fair odds 1.81); double chance 1X rises to 78%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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