Argentinos JRS vs Huracan prediction
Liga Profesional Argentina · · Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Argentinos JRS a 47% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Huracan 22%. The most likely result is 1-0. Expected goals: Argentinos JRS 1.30, Huracan 0.82.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Argentinos JRS: position 3 with 29 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 8-5-3), 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: L W W W D.
Huracan: position 7 with 22 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-7-4), 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: W L L L L.
On average Argentinos JRS take 1.81 points per game, Huracan 1.38.
Absences and team news
Argentinos JRS are without F. Álvarez, A. Lescano, T. Molina, F. Fattori.
Huracan are without F. Pereyra, L. Gil, E. Ojeda, L. Carrizo.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 47% for Argentinos JRS, 31% for the draw and 22% for Huracan. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 47%, 31% and 22%.
Expected goals: Argentinos JRS 1.30, Huracan 0.82, 2.12 in total. Over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 42%; the most likely score is 1-0. The expected total is low: the model expects a tight, low-scoring game.
Expected corners: 9.5 (over 9.5 at 47%). Expected yellow cards: 4.7, with referee Pablo Dovalo (over 3.5 at 68%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Argentinos JRS win (47%, fair odds 2.14); double chance 1X rises to 78%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
Free daily picks on our Telegram channel
Join on Telegram