Talleres Cordoba vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction
Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Talleres Cordoba a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Estudiantes L.P. 35%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 1.18, Estudiantes L.P. 1.19.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Talleres Cordoba: position 4 with 26 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 7-5-4), 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. Recent form: D W L L D.
Estudiantes L.P.: position 1 with 31 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 9-4-3), 19 goals scored and 7 conceded. Recent form: D D L L D.
On average Talleres Cordoba take 1.63 points per game, Estudiantes L.P. 1.94.
Absences and team news
Talleres Cordoba report no significant absences.
Estudiantes L.P. report no significant absences.
Team news, Talleres Cordoba: Valentín Fascendini is not in the squad: right quadriceps muscle injury, undergoing physiotherapy.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 35% for Talleres Cordoba, 30% for the draw and 35% for Estudiantes L.P.. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 34%, 31% and 35%.
Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 1.18, Estudiantes L.P. 1.19, 2.37 in total. Over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Estudiantes L.P. win (35%, fair odds 2.85); double chance X2 rises to 66%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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