Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman prediction
Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Banfield a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Atletico Tucuman 31%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Banfield 1.28, Atletico Tucuman 1.11.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Banfield: position 12 with 18 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 5-3-8), 17 goals scored and 19 conceded. Recent form: D L D L W.
Atletico Tucuman: position 13 with 14 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 3-5-8), 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. Recent form: D L W L D.
On average Banfield take 1.13 points per game, Atletico Tucuman 0.88.
Absences and team news
Banfield are without S. López, F. Sanguinetti, M. Méndez, I. Pais.
Atletico Tucuman are without N. Laméndola, F. Nicola, I. Galván, L. Díaz.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 39% for Banfield, 30% for the draw and 31% for Atletico Tucuman. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 39%, 30% and 31%.
Expected goals: Banfield 1.28, Atletico Tucuman 1.11, 2.39 in total. Over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Banfield win (39%, fair odds 2.57); double chance 1X rises to 69%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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