Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction
Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Rosario Central a 85% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: Rosario Central 2.63, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.36.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Rosario Central: position 4 with 28 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 8-4-4), 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. Recent form: W W W W W.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: position 15 with 5 points from 16 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-2-13), 5 goals scored and 24 conceded. Recent form: L L L W L.
On average Rosario Central take 1.75 points per game, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.31.
Absences and team news
Rosario Central are without Á. Di María, E. Giménez.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto report no significant absences.
Team news, Rosario Central: Ángel Di María is out with a pubalgia: coach Almirón has left him out of the squad; he is Central's top scorer in the Clausura with six goals.
Team news, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: Estudiantes is already relegated and this is its last match in Primera: it has no more goals in the standings.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 85% for Rosario Central, 11% for the draw and 4% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 85%, 12% and 3%.
Expected goals: Rosario Central 2.63, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.36, 2.99 in total. Over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 29%; the most likely score is 2-0.
Expected corners: 10.1 (over 9.5 at 54%). Expected yellow cards: 4.7, with referee Hernan Mastrangelo (over 3.5 at 68%).
Kick-off forecast in Rosario: 19.3 °C, no rain, wind 16 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Rosario Central win (85%, fair odds 1.17); double chance 1X rises to 97%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
Free daily picks on our Telegram channel
Join on Telegram