FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction
MLS · · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives FC Cincinnati a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 39%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: FC Cincinnati 1.53, Nashville SC 1.64.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
FC Cincinnati: position 9 with 46 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 12-10-12), 67 goals scored and 75 conceded. Recent form: L W D W W.
Nashville SC: position 1 with 77 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 23-8-3), 71 goals scored and 25 conceded. Recent form: W W D W D.
On average FC Cincinnati take 1.39 points per game, Nashville SC 2.24.
Absences and team news
FC Cincinnati report no significant absences.
Nashville SC report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 36% for FC Cincinnati, 26% for the draw and 38% for Nashville SC. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 35%, 26% and 39%.
Expected goals: FC Cincinnati 1.53, Nashville SC 1.64, 3.17 in total. Over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 64%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 10.3 (over 9.5 at 56%). Expected yellow cards: 3.3, with referee Tori Penso (over 3.5 at 41%).
Kick-off forecast in Cincinnati: 11.4 °C, no rain, wind 13 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Nashville SC win (39%, fair odds 2.54); double chance X2 rises to 65%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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