Inter Miami vs Charlotte prediction
MLS · · Nu Stadium, Miami
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Inter Miami a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Charlotte 13%. The most likely result is 2-1. Expected goals: Inter Miami 2.82, Charlotte 1.18.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Inter Miami: position 2 with 60 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 16-12-6), 80 goals scored and 59 conceded. Recent form: D W D L W.
Charlotte: position 5 with 54 points from 34 matches (won-drawn-lost 15-9-10), 66 goals scored and 51 conceded. Recent form: D W W L D.
On average Inter Miami take 1.79 points per game, Charlotte 1.61.
Absences and team news
Inter Miami report no significant absences.
Charlotte report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 71% for Inter Miami, 16% for the draw and 13% for Charlotte. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 71%, 17% and 13%.
Expected goals: Inter Miami 2.82, Charlotte 1.18, 4.01 in total. Over 2.5 at 76%, both teams to score at 66%; the most likely score is 2-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Expected corners: 9.8 (over 9.5 at 51%). Expected yellow cards: 3.7, with referee Rubiel Vazquez (over 3.5 at 50%).
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Inter Miami win (71%, fair odds 1.41); double chance 1X rises to 87%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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