Feyenoord vs Inter prediction
Champions League ·
Full time
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Feyenoord a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Inter 49%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.45, Inter 1.99.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Feyenoord: position 32 with 3 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-0-3), 4 goals scored and 11 conceded. Recent form: L L W L.
Inter: position 15 with 6 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-2), 8 goals scored and 6 conceded. Recent form: W W L L.
On average Feyenoord take 1.00 points per game, Inter 1.00.
Absences and team news
Feyenoord are without J. St. Juste, S. van Persie, R. Nelson, J. Moder.
Inter are without A. Bastoni, L. Martinez, C. Jones, Luis Henrique.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 26% for Feyenoord, 24% for the draw and 50% for Inter. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 27%, 24% and 49%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.45, Inter 1.99, 3.44 in total. Over 2.5 at 67%, both teams to score at 67%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Inter win (49%, fair odds 2.03); double chance X2 rises to 73%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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