Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Champions League ·
Full time
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Galatasaray a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfB Stuttgart 30%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.18, VfB Stuttgart 1.70.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Galatasaray: position 18 with 6 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-2), 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. Recent form: W W L L.
VfB Stuttgart: position 14 with 7 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-1-1), 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. Recent form: L D W W.
On average Galatasaray take 1.00 points per game, VfB Stuttgart 2.33.
Absences and team news
Galatasaray are without K. Karatas, K. Ayhan, A. Guner, A. Unyay.
VfB Stuttgart are without A. Stiller, J. Vagnoman, L. Sauer, L. Stergiou.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 48% for Galatasaray, 23% for the draw and 29% for VfB Stuttgart. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 48%, 22% and 30%.
Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.18, VfB Stuttgart 1.70, 3.88 in total. Over 2.5 at 74%, both teams to score at 73%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Galatasaray win (48%, fair odds 2.07); double chance 1X rises to 70%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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