Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava prediction
Champions League ·
Full time
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Lask Linz a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Slovan Bratislava 10%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: Lask Linz 2.74, Slovan Bratislava 0.99.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Lask Linz: position 16 with 6 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-2), 10 goals scored and 9 conceded. Recent form: W W L L.
Slovan Bratislava: position 36 with 0 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-0-4), 1 goals scored and 17 conceded. Recent form: L L L L.
On average Lask Linz take 1.00 points per game, Slovan Bratislava 0.00.
Absences and team news
Lask Linz are without G. Bello, R. Harakate, K. Cheikne, A. Smakaj.
Slovan Bratislava are without A. Yirajang, A. Griger, M. Kianga, M. Kukharevych.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 72% for Lask Linz, 16% for the draw and 11% for Slovan Bratislava. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 74%, 16% and 10%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Lask Linz 2.74, Slovan Bratislava 0.99, 3.73 in total. Over 2.5 at 72%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 2-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Lask Linz win (74%, fair odds 1.36); double chance 1X rises to 90%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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