Viking vs Sabah FA prediction
Champions League ·
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Viking a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sabah FA 16%. The most likely result is 2-1. Expected goals: Viking 2.47, Sabah FA 1.21.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Viking: position 22 with 4 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-1-2), 9 goals scored and 10 conceded. Recent form: W L D L.
Sabah FA: position 31 with 3 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-0-3), 4 goals scored and 10 conceded. Recent form: L L W L.
On average Viking take 0.33 points per game, Sabah FA 1.00.
Absences and team news
Viking are without P. Christiansen, J. Bell, A. Baertelsen, S. Bjorshol.
Sabah FA are without J. Mickels, R. Daşdəmirov, A. Isaev, K. Parris.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 65% for Viking, 19% for the draw and 16% for Sabah FA. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 64%, 19% and 16%.
Expected goals: Viking 2.47, Sabah FA 1.21, 3.67 in total. Over 2.5 at 71%, both teams to score at 65%; the most likely score is 2-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Viking win (64%, fair odds 1.56); double chance 1X rises to 84%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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