Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
Europa League ·
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Torreense a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ararat-Armenia 18%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Torreense 1.73, Ararat-Armenia 0.89.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Torreense: position 19 with 6 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-2), 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Recent form: W L L W.
Ararat-Armenia: position 36 with 0 points from 4 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-0-4), 4 goals scored and 14 conceded. Recent form: L L L L.
On average Torreense take 1.00 points per game, Ararat-Armenia 0.00.
Absences and team news
Torreense are without A. Oudrhiri, M. Abubakari, David Bruno, A. Baradji.
Ararat-Armenia are without Zidane Banjaqui, P. Ayongo.
Team news, Torreense: Torreense is led by a new coach, João Nuno, who previews the European challenge against Ararat-Armenia.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 57% for Torreense, 25% for the draw and 18% for Ararat-Armenia. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 56%, 26% and 18%.
Expected goals: Torreense 1.73, Ararat-Armenia 0.89, 2.62 in total. Over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Torreense win (56%, fair odds 1.78); double chance 1X rises to 82%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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