FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Inter Club d'Escaldes 1%. The most likely result is 3-0. Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda 3.76, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.38.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
FK Crvena Zvezda: position 15 with 4 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-1-1), 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Recent form: W D L.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: position 35 with 0 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-0-3), 2 goals scored and 7 conceded. Recent form: L L L.
On average FK Crvena Zvezda take 0.50 points per game, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.00.
Absences and team news
FK Crvena Zvezda report no significant absences.
Inter Club d'Escaldes report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 93% for FK Crvena Zvezda, 5% for the draw and 2% for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 94%, 5% and 1%.
Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda 3.76, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.38, 4.14 in total. Over 2.5 at 78%, both teams to score at 31%; the most likely score is 3-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a FK Crvena Zvezda win (94%, fair odds 1.07); double chance 1X rises to 99%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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