Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Trabzonspor a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SC Freiburg 32%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Trabzonspor 1.51, SC Freiburg 1.34.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Trabzonspor: position 12 with 6 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-1), 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. Recent form: L W W.
SC Freiburg: position 14 with 6 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-0-1), 4 goals scored and 5 conceded. Recent form: W L W.
On average Trabzonspor take 3.00 points per game, SC Freiburg 1.50.
Absences and team news
Trabzonspor report no significant absences.
SC Freiburg report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 39% for Trabzonspor, 28% for the draw and 34% for SC Freiburg. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 40%, 27% and 32%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: Trabzonspor 1.51, SC Freiburg 1.34, 2.85 in total. Over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Trabzonspor win (40%, fair odds 2.48); double chance 1X rises to 68%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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