Getafe vs Brighton prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Getafe a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brighton 61%. The most likely result is 0-2. Expected goals: Getafe 0.80, Brighton 1.85.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Getafe: position 31 with 1 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-1-2), 3 goals scored and 7 conceded. Recent form: L L D.
Brighton: position 5 with 7 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-1-0), 5 goals scored and 0 conceded. Recent form: W D W.
On average Getafe take 0.50 points per game, Brighton 2.00.
Absences and team news
Getafe are without E. Ünal, Francho Serrano, Z. Romero.
Brighton are without L. Vušković, D. Gómez, M. De Cuyper, C. Kostoulas.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 16% for Getafe, 24% for the draw and 60% for Brighton. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 15%, 24% and 61%.
Expected goals: Getafe 0.80, Brighton 1.85, 2.65 in total. Over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%; the most likely score is 0-2.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Brighton win (61%, fair odds 1.64); double chance X2 rises to 85%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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