Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Mjallby AIF a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Borac Banja Luka 31%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Mjallby AIF 1.43, Borac Banja Luka 1.22.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
Mjallby AIF: position 9 with 7 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-1-0), 5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Recent form: W D W.
Borac Banja Luka: position 21 with 3 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-0-2), 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Recent form: L W L.
On average Mjallby AIF take 2.00 points per game, Borac Banja Luka 1.50.
Absences and team news
Mjallby AIF report no significant absences.
Borac Banja Luka report no significant absences.
Team news, Mjallby AIF: Mjällby will play at the Olympia in Helsingborg instead of Strandvallen, which does not meet UEFA requirements: a less familiar pitch.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 41% for Mjallby AIF, 28% for the draw and 31% for Borac Banja Luka. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 41%, 28% and 31%.
Expected goals: Mjallby AIF 1.43, Borac Banja Luka 1.22, 2.65 in total. Over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Mjallby AIF win (41%, fair odds 2.46); double chance 1X rises to 69%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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