KuPS vs Gent prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives KuPS a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gent 60%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: KuPS 0.86, Gent 1.87.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
KuPS: position 33 with 1 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-1-2), 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. Recent form: D L L.
Gent: position 18 with 4 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-1-1), 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Recent form: D L W.
On average KuPS take 0.00 points per game, Gent 1.50.
Absences and team news
KuPS report no significant absences.
Gent report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 17% for KuPS, 24% for the draw and 59% for Gent. Accounting for absences, standings and news, the model moves them to 16%, 24% and 60%. The model's adjustments never move an outcome by more than 5 points.
Expected goals: KuPS 0.86, Gent 1.87, 2.72 in total. Over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Gent win (60%, fair odds 1.66); double chance X2 rises to 84%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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