FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives FC Thun a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Heart Of Midlothian 31%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: FC Thun 1.73, Heart Of Midlothian 1.45.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
FC Thun: position 20 with 3 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 1-0-2), 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. Recent form: W L L.
Heart Of Midlothian: position 32 with 1 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-1-2), 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. Recent form: L L D.
On average FC Thun take 0.00 points per game, Heart Of Midlothian 0.50.
Absences and team news
FC Thun report no significant absences.
Heart Of Midlothian report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 44% for FC Thun, 25% for the draw and 31% for Heart Of Midlothian. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 43%, 25% and 31%.
Expected goals: FC Thun 1.73, Heart Of Midlothian 1.45, 3.18 in total. Over 2.5 at 62%, both teams to score at 64%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a FC Thun win (43%, fair odds 2.30); double chance 1X rises to 69%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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