FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction
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Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives FC Copenhagen a 87% chance of winning, the draw 10% and FC Iberia 1999 3%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 2.95, FC Iberia 1999 0.42.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Standings and form
FC Copenhagen: position 7 with 7 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 2-1-0), 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. Recent form: W D W.
FC Iberia 1999: position 29 with 1 points from 3 matches (won-drawn-lost 0-1-2), 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. Recent form: L D L.
On average FC Copenhagen take 2.00 points per game, FC Iberia 1999 0.50.
Absences and team news
FC Copenhagen are without F. Beijmo, Robert, W. Clem, M. Emil Madsen.
FC Iberia 1999 are without Lucas Brune.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 87% for FC Copenhagen, 9% for the draw and 3% for FC Iberia 1999. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 87%, 10% and 3%.
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 2.95, FC Iberia 1999 0.42, 3.37 in total. Over 2.5 at 65%, both teams to score at 33%; the most likely score is 2-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a FC Copenhagen win (87%, fair odds 1.15); double chance 1X rises to 97%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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