Huddersfield vs Exeter City prediction
FA Cup · · John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Huddersfield a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Exeter City 9%. The most likely result is 2-0. Expected goals: Huddersfield 2.31, Exeter City 0.72.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Huddersfield are without I. Bronkhorst, D. Sanches Fernandes, J. Taylor, A. Collins.
Exeter City are without J. Fitzwater, J. Gordon, T. Perry, J. Doyle-Hayes.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 73% for Huddersfield, 17% for the draw and 10% for Exeter City. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 72%, 18% and 9%.
Expected goals: Huddersfield 2.31, Exeter City 0.72, 3.03 in total. Over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 47%; the most likely score is 2-0. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Kick-off forecast in Huddersfield: 10.1 °C, no rain, wind 1 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Huddersfield win (72%, fair odds 1.38); double chance 1X rises to 91%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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