Cheltenham vs FC Halifax Town prediction
FA Cup · · Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Cheltenham a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC Halifax Town 30%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Cheltenham 1.56, FC Halifax Town 1.29.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Cheltenham are without R. Cundy, J. Tomlinson.
FC Halifax Town report no significant absences.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 43% for Cheltenham, 27% for the draw and 30% for FC Halifax Town. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 42%, 27% and 30%.
Expected goals: Cheltenham 1.56, FC Halifax Town 1.29, 2.85 in total. Over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%; the most likely score is 1-1.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Cheltenham win (42%, fair odds 2.36); double chance 1X rises to 70%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
Missing
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