Boreham Wood vs Wigan prediction
FA Cup · · Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Full time
Updated:
Our statistical model, built on the odds of the sharpest bookmakers with their margin removed and adjusted for absences, form and news, gives Boreham Wood a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wigan 23%. The most likely result is 1-1. Expected goals: Boreham Wood 1.99, Wigan 1.28.
Match result
Goals
Most likely scores
Match analysis
Absences and team news
Boreham Wood report no significant absences.
Wigan are without R. Walsh, D. Costelloe.
What the odds and the model say
Bookmaker odds, with their margin removed, start from 53% for Boreham Wood, 24% for the draw and 24% for Wigan. Absences, standings and news change little: the model stays at 53%, 24% and 23%.
Expected goals: Boreham Wood 1.99, Wigan 1.28, 3.27 in total. Over 2.5 at 63%, both teams to score at 63%; the most likely score is 1-1. The expected total is high: the model expects an open game.
Kick-off forecast in Borehamwood: 9.6 °C, no rain, wind 1 km/h, pitch dry.
In short
For the model the most likely outcome is a Boreham Wood win (53%, fair odds 1.89); double chance 1X rises to 77%. These are statistical estimates, not certainties: one match in three or four goes against the favourite.
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